|
Our Stock Selection Principles
Partners
Wealth grows in a capitalist system because
it allows us to take on partners in our economic life. Adam Smith
illustrates this at the beginning of the Wealth of Nations with
an example of a “trifling manufacture”: the creation
of a pin. Many men are involved in its production: “one man
draws out the wire, another straights it, a third cuts it, a fourth
points it, a fifth grinds it at the top for receiving the head .
. . .” Few of these men know each other, but they are able
to act as partners and understand each other’s needs because
they are all guided by the same profit-seeking impulse.
Consequently, we only buy stock in a company where we feel we can
trust the CEO to act as our partner. He must own a significant portion
of his company’s stock, so that his interests are aligned
naturally with those of his shareholders, and he must also have
demonstrated an understanding that his company exists not only to
serve its officers, its employees and its customers, but most importantly
its shareholders.
Freedom
Man thrives in a capitalist economy because he
is free to pursue his dreams of creating wealth for himself by first
creating it for others. Throughout human history, government has
constrained this process once it moves beyond enforcing contracts,
protecting its citizens against coercion, and providing a few universally
enjoyed services.
We avoid companies and industries where the heavy hand of government
constricts the entrepreneurial spirit.
The Business of Investing
The Rockefeller Foundation. Carnegie-Mellon University.
Scranton, Pa. What do they all have in common? The fortunes that
established them all sprang from real businesses: Standard Oil,
U.S. Steel, Union Trust of Pittsburgh, George Scranton’s iron
and steel manufactory. All their founders were business owners,
not market timers, momentum players or newsletter touts.
We anchor our analysis of companies in the belief that behind the
static of daily price oscillations, a business exists, and we ask
ourselves some simple questions. If we had enough money, would we
buy all of this company at the current price? If we could pocket
its earnings, would its current earnings’ yield and prospects
for future earnings’ growth be strong enough to merit purchase?
If we owned the whole company, would an informed business owner
be willing to buy it from us at a substantial profit within the
next five years? We do not “play the market”; we rationally
appraise businesses.
The Real Real World
Unlike many other “isms” such as
communism, socialism, Maoism and Platonism, whose benefits to mankind
exist mostly between the ears of academics and devotees, the fruits
of capitalism can be felt and tasted. In fact, every businessman
measures his ideas against hard reality every day. If he invests
in a new product, he only needs some time and a look at the inventory
on his shelves to know whether his idea has succeeded or failed.
In the same way, we attempt to quantify our investment principles
and to test them against history and ongoing experience. Over the
years, the greatest gain in a stock has come from buying a company
whose earnings grow and whose price increases relative to those
earnings. Consequently, we look for companies with p/e ratios that
are low compared to the company’s earning’s prospects.
This also allows for a margin of safety, since no theory works perfectly.
One of the best ways for a company to grow its earnings is by having
a high return on reinvested capital, so we emphasize this figure
in our selection process. We are reluctant to sell, and we only
sell all of our stock in a company if its long-term business prospects
erode dramatically or if its price appreciates to absurd levels.
We know that once we have identified a good company and purchased
it at a good price, we may not do such a good job finding its replacement.
Experience and the study of history have taught us that almost no
one consistently predicts the market’s direction or the future
prices of stocks. Since we have no control over how the market will
value a stock in the future, we focus on what we can control: the
price we pay and the character and philosophy of the people who
run our companies.
Keep in mind that there is
no assurance that this or any strategy will ultimately be successful
or profitable nor protect against a loss.
The
opinions listed here are those of Capitalist Investment Services,
LLC and not necessarily those of Raymond James Financial Services
or any other entity.
Home | Raymond
James Financial Services | Products
& Services | Advisory Staff
| Contact Us
Our Mission | Stock
Selection Principles | Independent Advisor
| Commentary Archives | Financial
Planning Archives
.
Capitalist Investment Services is an independent
company.
|